The recently conducted exit polls for the Bihar Assembly elections indicate a significant lead for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), with projections suggesting they may secure between 133 and 148 seats. In contrast, the Mahagathbandhan (MGB) is expected to win between 75 and 101 seats, while Jan Suraaj, the party led by Prashant Kishor, is projected to struggle, potentially earning just up to 5 seats. Other exit polls, such as those conducted by P-Marq and Dainik Bhaskar, corroborate these findings, favoring NDA with predictions ranging from 142 to 162 seats and suggesting a decrease in MGB's seat count compared to earlier elections.

In the latest assessments, Dainik Bhaskar forecasts NDA to acquire 145 to 160 seats, while Mahagathbandhan's expected wins are set between 73 and 91 seats. Additionally, Chanakya Strategies provides a more conservative estimate, hinting at NDA securing 130 to 138 seats and MGB obtaining 100 to 108 seats. These trends show a strong performance for NDA, suggesting their continued dominance in Bihar’s political landscape.

Voter participation in this election reached a record high, with provisional reports stating a turnout of 67.14% in the second phase of the election, surpassing the previous record of 65.09% achieved during the first phase on November 6. The increase in participation is viewed as a crucial factor, reflecting public engagement and interest in the electoral process. More than 3.70 crore voters were eligible to cast their votes across 122 constituencies, positioning this election as a critical assessment of Bihar's longest-serving Chief Minister, Nitish Kumar.

These exit polls and the notable voter turnout illustrate the evolving political climate in Bihar, indicating a potential shift in power dynamics and the electorate's sentiment towards existing governance. As the final results are awaited, the political implications of these predictions will be studied closely, particularly for the emerging parties like Jan Suraaj, which faced challenges in making a significant impact in their inaugural election cycle.